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2026 seasonPolls: AP Week 6 · Coaches Week 6RV = receiving votesLines: FanDuel Oct 4Updated Oct 4

Week 4 Vegas Report

closing lines vs what actually happened

Vegas, graded

This weekDMaybe stick to blackjack.40–31favorites ATS11.5avg pts spread was off
SeasonDMaybe stick to blackjack.211–178favorites ATS11.8avg pts spread was off
Week 4 by the numbers71 graded games
Vegas's worst whiff this week UCLA at Maryland — UCLA closed −1.5; won by 51 — off by 49.5
Vegas's bullseye this week Army at Temple — Army closed −3.5; won by 4 — off by 0.5. Spooky.

The Meter's Receipts

Week 4
The games we rated highest finished 17.8 pts apart on average. The ones we waved you past: 20.4. The Meter knows.
The Quick Count
how each tier's games actually turned out
Thunderdome4 games2 bangers1 watchable1 lopsided
Ready to Rumble7 games2 bangers1 watchable2 lopsided2 beatdowns
I'll Bite17 games10 bangers3 watchable1 competitive-ish2 lopsided1 beatdown
Worth a Flip18 games5 bangers5 watchable1 competitive-ish6 lopsided1 beatdown
Still Ball25 games4 bangers3 watchable1 competitive-ish8 lopsided9 beatdowns
banger one-score game, OT, or an upsetwatchable decided by 9–16competitive-ish decided by 17–20lopsided decided by 21–29beatdown 30+, same as the card tag
ThunderdomeTexas 20, Tennessee 17DELIVERED
ThunderdomeFlorida 52, Ole Miss 28DUD
ThunderdomeOregon 41, USC 27GOOD WATCH
ThunderdomeMiss State 31, Missouri 24DELIVERED
Ready to RumbleNotre Dame 49, Purdue 10DUD
Ready to RumbleGeorgia 41, Oklahoma 13DUD
Ready to RumbleAlabama 49, S. Carolina 18DUD
Ready to RumbleIndiana 29, Northwestern 23DELIVERED
Ready to RumbleLSU 35, Texas A&M 6DUD
Ready to RumbleUtah 31, Iowa State 17GOOD WATCH
Ready to RumbleIowa 20, Michigan 19upsetDELIVERED
I'll BiteOklahoma St. 41, W. Virginia 24upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteUCLA 54, Maryland 3TOOTHACHE
I'll BiteClemson 24, California 10AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteStanford 34, Georgia Tech 27upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteOhio State 42, Illinois 19TOOTHACHE
I'll BiteWake Forest 30, Louisville 27upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteMinnesota 27, Washington 24upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteUCF 21, TCU 13upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteCincinnati 31, Kansas State 26upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteNebraska 31, Mich. State 13AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteBaylor 23, Colorado 13AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteAuburn 21, Vanderbilt 15WORTH IT
I'll BiteWisconsin 24, Penn State 20upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteVa. Tech 21, Boston Col. 14WORTH IT
I'll BiteArmy 21, Temple 17WORTH IT
I'll BiteArizona 34, Wash. State 24AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteJMU 46, Old Dominion 20TOOTHACHE
Worth a FlipNew Mexico 42, N Mexico St 18CALLED IT
Worth a FlipUAB 24, Navy 20upsetSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipBoise State 32, W. Michigan 7CALLED IT
Worth a FlipAir Force 36, Nevada 33OTSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipWyoming 27, Hawaii 10upsetSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipLiberty 34, Coastal Car. 17CALLED IT
Worth a FlipKent State 26, Ball State 13CALLED IT
Worth a FlipUMass 35, Sac State 6CALLED IT
Worth a FlipJax State 23, Mid. Tenn. 13CALLED IT
Worth a FlipMiami (FL) 52, C. Michigan 3CALLED IT
Worth a FlipHouston 42, Ga. Southern 28CALLED IT
Worth a FlipArkansas 34, Tulsa 6CALLED IT
Worth a FlipToledo 41, San Diego St 16CALLED IT
Worth a FlipUtah State 21, Troy 10CALLED IT
Worth a FlipNC State 41, App State 31CALLED IT
Worth a FlipOregon St. 33, UTEP 7CALLED IT
Worth a FlipMiami (OH) 24, UConn 21SURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipArkansas St. 17, Kennesaw St 14SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallUTSA 59, Colorado St. 45CALLED IT
Still BallFresno State 38, Rice 24CALLED IT
Still BallGeorgia St. 35, N. Illinois 14CALLED IT
Still BallLouisiana 34, Charlotte 7CALLED IT
Still BallTexas Tech 49, Sam Houston 14CALLED IT
Still BallFla Atlantic 45, UL Monroe 17CALLED IT
Still BallUNLV 38, Akron 10CALLED IT
Still BallKentucky 45, S. Alabama 21CALLED IT
Still BallVirginia 42, Delaware 3CALLED IT
Still BallUSF 14, Bowl. Green 6SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallTulane 24, So Miss 21SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallSMU 34, Missouri St. 24CALLED IT
Still BallPittsburgh 59, Bucknell 0CALLED IT
Still BallDuke 62, William & Mary 7CALLED IT
Still BallMarshall 36, Gardner-Webb 35SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallRutgers 58, Howard 7CALLED IT
Still BallFlorida St. 34, Central Arkansas 7CALLED IT
Still BallTexas State 63, Incarnate Word 10CALLED IT
Still BallE. Michigan 29, Lindenwood 3CALLED IT
Still BallBuffalo 31, Robert Morris 28SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallOhio 35, Stonehill 7CALLED IT
Still BallE. Carolina 42, North Carolina Central 9CALLED IT
Still BallFIU 20, Long Island University 3CALLED IT
Still BallW. Kentucky 52, Mercyhurst 7CALLED IT
Still BallNorth Texas 63, Houston Christian 14CALLED IT
Key Notes
Times are shown in Eastern time; kickoffs and networks for later weeks fill in as they are announced (usually 6–12 days out). Sources: schedules, kickoff times and networks from ESPN; team stats and head-to-head history from CollegeFootballData.com; AP Top 25 (Week 6: #1 Texas, #2 Georgia, #3 Notre Dame, #4 Miami (FL), #5 Ohio State); USA Today Coaches Poll; spreads and totals from FanDuel via The Odds API (lines move — check the book before you bet). Every NCAA FBS game, every week. Data refreshes daily in season — kickoff times, networks, lines, and forecasts firm up as the week goes on. House rule: if something on this page moves, you can tap it.
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