2026 seasonPolls: AP Week 6 · Coaches Week 6RV = receiving votesLines: FanDuel Oct 4Updated Oct 4

Week 3 Vegas Report

closing lines vs what actually happened

Vegas, graded

This weekCMoe Greene not happy.35–40favorites ATS9.5avg pts spread was off
SeasonDMaybe stick to blackjack.211–178favorites ATS11.8avg pts spread was off
Week 3 by the numbers75 graded games
Vegas's worst whiff this week Nicholls at Sam Houston — Sam Houston closed −18.5; won by 59 — off by 40.5
Vegas's bullseye this week NC State at Vanderbilt — Vanderbilt closed −3.5; won by 4 — off by 0.5. Spooky.

The Meter's Receipts

Week 3
The games we rated highest finished 9.8 pts apart on average. The ones we waved you past: 22.7. The Meter knows.
The Quick Count
how each tier's games actually turned out
Maximum Thunderdome1 game1 banger
Thunderdome1 game1 banger
Ready to Rumble4 games1 banger2 watchable1 competitive-ish
I'll Bite16 games6 bangers5 watchable1 competitive-ish2 lopsided2 beatdowns
Worth a Flip18 games12 bangers2 watchable2 lopsided2 beatdowns
Still Ball35 games5 bangers4 watchable1 competitive-ish6 lopsided19 beatdowns
banger one-score game, OT, or an upsetwatchable decided by 9–16competitive-ish decided by 17–20lopsided decided by 21–29beatdown 30+, same as the card tag
Maximum ThunderdomeOle Miss 32, LSU 24upsetDELIVERED
ThunderdomeTexas Tech 28, Houston 26DELIVERED
Ready to RumbleNotre Dame 27, Mich. State 10GOOD WATCH
Ready to RumbleMiami (FL) 33, Wake Forest 20GOOD WATCH
Ready to RumbleFlorida 44, Auburn 39DELIVERED
Ready to RumblePittsburgh 27, Syracuse 13GOOD WATCH
I'll BiteGeorgia 45, Arkansas 17TOOTHACHE
I'll BiteLouisville 41, SMU 31AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteMiss State 41, S. Carolina 34upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteKentucky 31, Texas A&M 21upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteUtah 33, Utah State 0TOOTHACHE
I'll BiteDuke 35, Stanford 7TOOTHACHE
I'll BiteUCLA 52, Purdue 38AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteAlabama 50, Florida St. 36AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteArizona St. 24, Kansas 17upsetWORTH IT
I'll BiteUSC 42, Rutgers 35WORTH IT
I'll BiteNorthwestern 41, Colorado 7TOOTHACHE
I'll BiteClemson 28, N. Carolina 20WORTH IT
I'll BiteBYU 41, Colorado St. 23AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteVa. Tech 35, Maryland 26AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteW. Virginia 38, Virginia 27AIIIGHT MAN
I'll BiteVanderbilt 35, NC State 31WORTH IT
Worth a FlipFresno State 26, San Jose St. 10CALLED IT
Worth a FlipCincinnati 35, Miami (OH) 31SURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipFla Atlantic 16, FIU 10SURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipOhio State 59, Kent State 3CALLED IT
Worth a FlipJMU 26, San Diego St 13upsetSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipTexas 30, UTSA 6CALLED IT
Worth a FlipTexas State 49, North Texas 35CALLED IT
Worth a FlipIndiana 38, W. Kentucky 0CALLED IT
Worth a FlipDelaware 22, Coastal Car. 14SURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipMarshall 30, Missouri St. 24SURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipToledo 49, Temple 48OTSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipC. Michigan 24, Wyoming 10upsetSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipE. Carolina 20, Old Dominion 17upsetSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipUConn 48, So Miss 20CALLED IT
Worth a FlipMid. Tenn. 27, Nevada 20upsetSURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipJax State 31, Ga. Southern 27SURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipS. Alabama 41, Ohio 36SURPRISE BANGER
Worth a FlipLouisiana 21, UAB 14SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallW. Michigan 28, Rice 21SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallLiberty 51, Ball State 15CALLED IT
Still BallOklahoma 14, New Mexico 6SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallUCF 44, Georgia St. 30CALLED IT
Still BallWisconsin 54, E. Michigan 10CALLED IT
Still BallTCU 31, Arkansas St. 7CALLED IT
Still BallOregon St. 52, Montana 17CALLED IT
Still BallSE Louisiana 38, UL Monroe 35upsetSURPRISE BANGER
Still BallKansas State 31, Tulane 20CALLED IT
Still BallApp State 26, Charlotte 21SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallMissouri 27, Troy 17CALLED IT
Still BallBaylor 36, La Tech 19CALLED IT
Still BallTennessee 42, Kennesaw St 9CALLED IT
Still BallMinnesota 41, Akron 7CALLED IT
Still BallOregon 84, Portland State 0CALLED IT
Still BallIowa State 55, Bowl. Green 7CALLED IT
Still BallN Dakota St 31, Sac State 10CALLED IT
Still BallSam Houston 59, Nicholls 0CALLED IT
Still BallIowa 55, Northern Iowa 0CALLED IT
Still BallBoise State 38, South Dakota 24CALLED IT
Still BallArizona 42, N. Illinois 17CALLED IT
Still BallOklahoma St. 59, Murray State 0CALLED IT
Still BallPenn State 55, Buffalo 13CALLED IT
Still BallMichigan 52, UTEP 17CALLED IT
Still BallNebraska 34, North Dakota 7CALLED IT
Still BallWash. State 48, Duquesne 7CALLED IT
Still BallGeorgia Tech 44, Mercer 11CALLED IT
Still BallCalifornia 49, Wagner 7CALLED IT
Still BallWashington 48, Eastern Washington 16CALLED IT
Still BallBoston Col. 22, Maine 16SURPRISE BANGER
Still BallIllinois 48, Southern Illinois 10CALLED IT
Still BallUMass 36, Stonehill 14CALLED IT
Still BallMemphis 45, UT Martin 21CALLED IT
Still BallUSF 59, Delaware State 17CALLED IT
Still BallTulsa 42, East Texas A&M 0CALLED IT
Key Notes
Times are shown in Eastern time; kickoffs and networks for later weeks fill in as they are announced (usually 6–12 days out). Sources: schedules, kickoff times and networks from ESPN; team stats and head-to-head history from CollegeFootballData.com; AP Top 25 (Week 6: #1 Texas, #2 Georgia, #3 Notre Dame, #4 Miami (FL), #5 Ohio State); USA Today Coaches Poll; spreads and totals from FanDuel via The Odds API (lines move — check the book before you bet). Every NCAA FBS game, every week. Data refreshes daily in season — kickoff times, networks, lines, and forecasts firm up as the week goes on. House rule: if something on this page moves, you can tap it.
Contact: hq@cfbbasecamp.com · Lines: FanDuel · CFB Basecamp is an independent fan site, unaffiliated with any school, conference, network, or sportsbook.