Buffalo at Toledo
Buffalo at Toledo final: Buffalo beat Toledo 23–8. The Gotta See It Meter called it one to skip: 2 of 100 (Still Ball), a 19.5-point line took most of it back.
- Date
- Saturday, Oct 10, 2026
- Final
- Buffalo 23, Toledo 8
- Line score
1 2 3 4 T BUFF 6 7 3 7 23 TOL 0 0 0 8 8 - TV
- ESPN+ · Streaming only · ESPN+
- Venue
- Glass Bowl
- City
- Toledo, OH
- Week
- Week 6
- Conference game
- Yes
- Line
- Toledo −19.5 · upsetO/U 55.5 · Under @ 31
Still Ball
Buffalo4–3
Wvs UAlbany21–17
Lat FIU20–33
Lat Penn State13–55
Wvs Robert Morris31–28
Lvs W. Michigan17–20
Wat Toledo23–8
Wvs UMass25–18
Toledo5–2
Lat Mich. State20–30
Wvs Central Connecticut63–10
Wvs Temple49–48
Wvs San Diego St41–16
Wat Ball State39–24
Lvs Buffalo8–23
Wat E. Michigan34–14
What was expected
Line, rankings, stats below remain as they were heading into the game.
These two combine for 62.8 points a game and Buffalo plays fast — 74.8 snaps a game, 12th nationally. Vegas set the total at 55.5. The last 4 meetings have averaged a 14.8-point margin.
Blowout riskChernobyldecided by 15 MISS
PaceSupersonicBuffalo Supersonic · Toledo Speed Limit
SeriesSplit Decisionavg margin 14.8 over 4 meetingsdecided by 15 HIT
The matchup
season averages · national rank in FBS below each · the fuller bar leads
| Buffalo | Toledo | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 20.4115th | 42.413th | |
| Points allowed | 30.6116th | 25.688th | |
| Yards per play | 4.2138th | 6.913th | |
| Yards allowed per play | 6.0116th | 4.632nd | |
| Plays per game | 74.812th | 70.239th | |
| Turnover margin | -7136th | +247th | |
| 3rd down conversion | 35.3%106th | 49.3%26th |
More stats +11
| Buffalo | Toledo | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards per game | 152.081st | 200.435th | |
| Passing yards per game | 161.6123rd | 284.624th | |
| QB completion rate | 52.8%133rd | 63.1%71st | |
| QB yards per attempt | 5.1137th | 8.927th | |
| O-line rank | 113thline yards · sack rate | 14thline yards · sack rate | |
| D-line rank | 89thstuff rate · havoc | 64thstuff rate · havoc | |
| Sacks | 6109th | 1055th | |
| Interceptions | 1121st | 372nd | |
| Forced fumbles | 1102nd | 337th | |
| Penalties per game | 6.249th | 6.665th | |
| Time of possession | 31:2845th | 28:5993rd |
The series
Buffalo leads 3–1 over the last 4
| Year | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Buffalo 30–15 | 15 |
| 2023 | Toledo 31–13 | 18 |
| 2022 | Buffalo 34–27 | 7 |
| 2019 | Buffalo 49–30 | 19 |
How to watch
| Network | ESPN+ |
|---|---|
| Stream | Streaming only · ESPN+ |
| Final | Buffalo 23, Toledo 8 |
| Where | Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH |
What the Meter sees
| Conference gameLeague standings are on the line | +5.0 |
|---|---|
| Program baselineA small floor for every FBS program; bigger for a power-conference team or one receiving votes | +2.0 |
| Where it's onESPN+ — a network puts its best games where everyone can find them | +1.0 |
| Vegas says it's closeClosing spread of 19.5 — the tighter the number, the bigger the bump | +0.3 |
| Vegas says it's a blowoutClosing spread of 19.5 — the line says it is over before it starts | -6.3 |
| Gotta See It Meter™ | 2 |
Still Ball0–5Worth a Flip6–17I'll Bite18–33Ready to Rumble34–59Thunderdome60–99Maximum100
Quick answers
- What was the final score of Buffalo vs Toledo?
- Buffalo beat Toledo 23–8.
- What channel is Buffalo vs Toledo on?
- ESPN+.
- Where is Buffalo vs Toledo played?
- Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH.