Nevada at Middle Tennessee
Nevada at Middle Tennessee final: Middle Tennessee beat Nevada 27–20. The Gotta See It Meter called it a game to flip to between plays: 6 of 100 (Worth a Flip), mostly on Vegas says it's close and program baseline.
- Date
- Saturday, Sep 19, 2026
- Final
- Nevada 20, Mid. Tenn. 27
- Line score
1 2 3 4 T NEV 7 3 7 3 20 MTSU 7 3 7 10 27 - TV
- ESPN+ · Streaming only · ESPN+
- Venue
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
- City
- Murfreesboro, TN
- Week
- Week 3
- Line
- Nevada −3.5 · upsetO/U 49.5 · Under @ 47
Worth a Flip
Nevada2–4
Wvs W. Kentucky49–14
Lvs Montana State7–20
Lat Mid. Tenn.20–27
Lvs Air Force33–36
Wat UTEP30–13
Lat N Dakota St17–31
Mid. Tenn.4–3
Wvs Murray State38–14
Lat Marshall26–28
Wvs Nevada27–20
Lat Jax State13–23
Lat Kansas0–55
Wvs Delaware33–30
Wat FIU26–23
What was expected
Line, rankings, stats below remain as they were heading into the game.
These two combine for 60.0 points a game and Nevada plays fast — 65.5 snaps a game, 88th nationally. Vegas set the total at 49.5. The last 1 meetings have averaged a 1.0-point margin.
Blowout riskNahdecided by 7 HIT
PaceSnailBoth Snail
SeriesRocky IVavg margin 1.0 over 1 meetingsdecided by 7 HIT
The matchup
season averages · national rank in FBS below each · the fuller bar leads
| Nevada | Middle Tennessee | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 28.085th | 32.064th | |
| Points allowed | 17.049th | 21.070th | |
| Yards per play | 6.448th | 6.257th | |
| Yards allowed per play | 4.752nd | 5.388th | |
| Plays per game | 65.588th | 60.0110th | |
| Turnover margin | -3126th | +144th | |
| 3rd down conversion | 39.1%80th | 31.6%118th |
More stats +11
| Nevada | Middle Tennessee | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards per game | 252.515th | 152.582nd | |
| Passing yards per game | 165.0118th | 221.575th | |
| QB completion rate | 53.8%127th | 61.6%87th | |
| QB yards per attempt | 6.3113th | 6.1118th | |
| O-line rank | 7thline yards · sack rate | 2ndline yards · sack rate | |
| D-line rank | 78thstuff rate · havoc | 86thstuff rate · havoc | |
| Sacks | 623rd | 0136th | |
| Interceptions | 0117th | 0117th | |
| Forced fumbles | 214th | 214th | |
| Penalties per game | 6.561st | 8.5114th | |
| Time of possession | 27:23114th | 29:1491st |
The series
Mid. Tenn. leads 1–0 over the last 1
| Year | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mid. Tenn. 14–13 | 1 |
How to watch
| Network | ESPN+ |
|---|---|
| Stream | Streaming only · ESPN+ |
| Final | Nevada 20, Mid. Tenn. 27 |
| Where | Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN |
What the Meter sees
| Vegas says it's closeClosing spread of 3.5 — the tighter the number, the bigger the bump | +3.3 |
|---|---|
| Program baselineA small floor for every FBS program; bigger for a power-conference team or one receiving votes | +2.0 |
| Where it's onESPN+ — a network puts its best games where everyone can find them | +1.0 |
| Gotta See It Meter™ | 6 |
Still Ball0–5Worth a Flip6–17I'll Bite18–33Ready to Rumble34–59Thunderdome60–99Maximum100
Quick answers
- What was the final score of Nevada vs Middle Tennessee?
- Middle Tennessee beat Nevada 27–20.
- What channel is Nevada vs Middle Tennessee on?
- ESPN+.
- Where is Nevada vs Middle Tennessee played?
- Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, TN.