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Ball State at Liberty

Ball State at Liberty final: Liberty beat Ball State 51–15. The Gotta See It Meter called it one to skip: 4 of 100 (Still Ball), a 14.5-point line took most of it back.

Date
Saturday, Sep 19, 2026
Final
Ball State 15, Liberty 51
Line score
1234T
BALL708015
LIB1310141451
TV
ESPN+ · Streaming only · ESPN+
Venue
Williams Stadium
City
Lynchburg, VA
Week
Week 3
Line
Liberty −14.5 · coveredO/U 48.5 · Over @ 66
Still Ball
Ball State2–5
Lat Ohio State3–56
Wvs Stony Brook41–17
Lat Liberty15–51
Lat Kent State13–26
Lvs Toledo24–39
Lat Northwestern14–45
Wat Bowl. Green32–31
Liberty6–1
Lat JMU13–20
Wvs Gardner-Webb24–23
Wvs Ball State51–15
Wat Coastal Car.34–17
Wat Delaware30–14
Wvs Sam Houston35–3
Wat Kennesaw St34–6

What was expected

Line, rankings, stats below remain as they were heading into the game.

These two combine for 40.5 points a game and Liberty plays fast — 68.0 snaps a game, 68th nationally. Vegas set the total at 48.5. The last 1 meetings have averaged a 4.0-point margin.

Blowout riskMaybedecided by 36 MISS
PaceSpeed LimitBoth Speed Limit
SeriesRocky IVavg margin 4.0 over 1 meetingsdecided by 36 MISS

The matchup

season averages · national rank in FBS below each · the fuller bar leads

Ball StateLiberty
Points per game22.0107th18.5120th
Points allowed36.5130th21.575th
Yards per play4.9119th5.1110th
Yards allowed per play7.3132nd4.861st
Plays per game66.086th68.068th
Turnover margin+144th+144th
3rd down conversion25.0%129th32.1%110th
More stats +11
Ball StateLiberty
Rushing yards per game135.5100th142.094th
Passing yards per game188.0103rd208.088th
QB completion rate68.1%50th52.1%131st
QB yards per attempt5.4128th8.749th
O-line rank126thline yards · sack rate122ndline yards · sack rate
D-line rank79thstuff rate · havoc21ststuff rate · havoc
Sacks461st2106th
Interceptions318th232nd
Forced fumbles098th147th
Penalties per game7.075th11.5137th
Time of possession30:4562nd33:1328th

The series

Liberty leads 1–0 over the last 1

YearResultMargin
2010Liberty 27–234

How to watch

NetworkESPN+
StreamStreaming only · ESPN+
FinalBall State 15, Liberty 51
WhereWilliams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA

What the Meter sees

Program baselineA small floor for every FBS program; bigger for a power-conference team or one receiving votes+2.0
Vegas says it's closeClosing spread of 14.5 — the tighter the number, the bigger the bump+1.2
Where it's onESPN+ — a network puts its best games where everyone can find them+1.0
Vegas says it's a blowoutClosing spread of 14.5 — the line says it is over before it starts-0.6
Gotta See It Meter™4
Still Ball0–5Worth a Flip6–17I'll Bite18–33Ready to Rumble34–59Thunderdome60–99Maximum100

Quick answers

What was the final score of Ball State vs Liberty?
Liberty beat Ball State 51–15.
What channel is Ball State vs Liberty on?
ESPN+.
Where is Ball State vs Liberty played?
Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA.
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