Illinois at Michigan State
Illinois at Michigan State final: Illinois beat Michigan State 38–37. The Gotta See It Meter called it worth having on: 26 of 100 (I'll Bite), mostly on power-conference matchup and conference game.
- Date
- Saturday, Oct 10, 2026
- Final
- Illinois 38, Mich. State 37
- Line score
1 2 3 4 OT T ILL 10 10 3 8 7 38 MSU 0 7 10 14 6 37 - TV
- FS1 · Cable · Fox One
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- City
- East Lansing, MI
- Week
- Week 6
- Conference game
- Yes
- Line
- Illinois −2.5 · won, no coverO/U 48.5 · Over @ 75
I'll Bite
Illinois3–3
Wvs UAB42–23
Lvs Duke27–31
Wvs Southern Illinois48–10
Lat Ohio State19–42
Lvs Purdue17–24
Wat Mich. State38–37
Nothing since.
Mich. State2–5
Wvs Toledo30–20
Wvs E. Michigan35–7
Lat Notre Dame10–27
Lvs Nebraska13–31
Lat Wisconsin3–31
Lvs Illinois37–38
Lvs Northwestern21–24
What was expected
Line, rankings, stats below remain as they were heading into the game.
These two combine for 48.8 points a game and Mich. State plays fast — 69.0 snaps a game, 50th nationally. Vegas set the total at 48.5. The last 4 meetings have averaged a 9.3-point margin.
Blowout riskNahdecided by 1 HIT
PaceSnailIllinois Snail · Mich. State Speed Limit
SeriesSplit Decisionavg margin 9.3 over 4 meetingsdecided by 1 MISS
The matchup
season averages · national rank in FBS below each · the fuller bar leads
| Illinois | Michigan State | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 30.669th | 18.2126th | |
| Points allowed | 26.094th | 23.264th | |
| Yards per play | 6.538th | 4.4135th | |
| Yards allowed per play | 5.7102nd | 5.586th | |
| Plays per game | 62.4116th | 69.050th | |
| Turnover margin | -177th | -4113th | |
| 3rd down conversion | 45.5%43rd | 40.0%80th |
More stats +11
| Illinois | Michigan State | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards per game | 155.673rd | 123.6113th | |
| Passing yards per game | 249.252nd | 182.0110th | |
| QB completion rate | 65.0%59th | 62.9%76th | |
| QB yards per attempt | 7.960th | 6.5117th | |
| O-line rank | 17thline yards · sack rate | 131stline yards · sack rate | |
| D-line rank | 85thstuff rate · havoc | 65thstuff rate · havoc | |
| Sacks | 3134th | 797th | |
| Interceptions | 294th | 1121st | |
| Forced fumbles | 0129th | 1102nd | |
| Penalties per game | 4.613th | 3.22nd | |
| Time of possession | 27:26117th | 31:4139th |
The series
Illinois leads 3–1 over the last 4
| Year | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Illinois 38–16 | 22 |
| 2022 | Mich. State 23–15 | 8 |
| 2019 | Illinois 37–34 | 3 |
| 2016 | Illinois 31–27 | 4 |
How to watch
| Network | FS1 |
|---|---|
| Stream | Cable · Fox One |
| Final (OT) | Illinois 38, Mich. State 37 |
| Where | Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI |
What the Meter sees
| Power-conference matchupTwo of the big four on the same field — the bump, plus the floor every power-conference team carries | +14.0 |
|---|---|
| Conference gameLeague standings are on the line | +5.0 |
| Vegas says it's closeClosing spread of 2.5 — the tighter the number, the bigger the bump | +3.5 |
| Where it's onFS1 — a network puts its best games where everyone can find them | +3.0 |
| Gotta See It Meter™ | 26 |
Still Ball0–5Worth a Flip6–17I'll Bite18–33Ready to Rumble34–59Thunderdome60–99Maximum100
Quick answers
- What was the final score of Illinois vs Michigan State?
- Illinois beat Michigan State 38–37.
- What channel is Illinois vs Michigan State on?
- FS1.
- How can I stream Illinois vs Michigan State?
- Streaming on Fox One.
- Where is Illinois vs Michigan State played?
- Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI.

