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Illinois at Michigan State

Illinois at Michigan State final: Illinois beat Michigan State 38–37. The Gotta See It Meter called it worth having on: 26 of 100 (I'll Bite), mostly on power-conference matchup and conference game.

Date
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026
Final
Illinois 38, Mich. State 37
Line score
1234OTT
ILL101038738
MSU071014637
TV
FS1 · Cable · Fox One
Venue
Spartan Stadium
City
East Lansing, MI
Week
Week 6
Conference game
Yes
Line
Illinois −2.5 · won, no coverO/U 48.5 · Over @ 75
I'll Bite
Illinois3–3
Wvs UAB42–23
Lvs Duke27–31
Wvs Southern Illinois48–10
Lat Ohio State19–42
Lvs Purdue17–24
Wat Mich. State38–37
Nothing since.
Mich. State2–5
Wvs Toledo30–20
Wvs E. Michigan35–7
Lat Notre Dame10–27
Lvs Nebraska13–31
Lat Wisconsin3–31
Lvs Illinois37–38
Lvs Northwestern21–24

What was expected

Line, rankings, stats below remain as they were heading into the game.

These two combine for 48.8 points a game and Mich. State plays fast — 69.0 snaps a game, 50th nationally. Vegas set the total at 48.5. The last 4 meetings have averaged a 9.3-point margin.

Blowout riskNahdecided by 1 HIT
PaceSnailIllinois Snail · Mich. State Speed Limit
SeriesSplit Decisionavg margin 9.3 over 4 meetingsdecided by 1 MISS

The matchup

season averages · national rank in FBS below each · the fuller bar leads

IllinoisMichigan State
Points per game30.669th18.2126th
Points allowed26.094th23.264th
Yards per play6.538th4.4135th
Yards allowed per play5.7102nd5.586th
Plays per game62.4116th69.050th
Turnover margin-177th-4113th
3rd down conversion45.5%43rd40.0%80th
More stats +11
IllinoisMichigan State
Rushing yards per game155.673rd123.6113th
Passing yards per game249.252nd182.0110th
QB completion rate65.0%59th62.9%76th
QB yards per attempt7.960th6.5117th
O-line rank17thline yards · sack rate131stline yards · sack rate
D-line rank85thstuff rate · havoc65thstuff rate · havoc
Sacks3134th797th
Interceptions294th1121st
Forced fumbles0129th1102nd
Penalties per game4.613th3.22nd
Time of possession27:26117th31:4139th

The series

Illinois leads 3–1 over the last 4

YearResultMargin
2024Illinois 38–1622
2022Mich. State 23–158
2019Illinois 37–343
2016Illinois 31–274

How to watch

NetworkFS1
StreamCable · Fox One
Final (OT)Illinois 38, Mich. State 37
WhereSpartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI

What the Meter sees

Power-conference matchupTwo of the big four on the same field — the bump, plus the floor every power-conference team carries+14.0
Conference gameLeague standings are on the line+5.0
Vegas says it's closeClosing spread of 2.5 — the tighter the number, the bigger the bump+3.5
Where it's onFS1 — a network puts its best games where everyone can find them+3.0
Gotta See It Meter™26
Still Ball0–5Worth a Flip6–17I'll Bite18–33Ready to Rumble34–59Thunderdome60–99Maximum100

Quick answers

What was the final score of Illinois vs Michigan State?
Illinois beat Michigan State 38–37.
What channel is Illinois vs Michigan State on?
FS1.
How can I stream Illinois vs Michigan State?
Streaming on Fox One.
Where is Illinois vs Michigan State played?
Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI.
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