every NCAA FBS game, every week

← Back to the full slate

Toledo at Ball State

Toledo at Ball State final: Toledo beat Ball State 39–24. The Gotta See It Meter called it one to skip: 0 of 100 (Still Ball), a 21.5-point line took most of it back.

Date
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026
Final
Toledo 39, Ball State 24
Line score
1234T
TOL6971739
BALL737724
TV
ESPN+ · Streaming only · ESPN+
Venue
Scheumann Stadium
City
Muncie, IN
Week
Week 5
Conference game
Yes
Line
Toledo −21.5 · won, no coverO/U 51.5 · Over @ 63
Still Ball
Toledo5–2
Lat Mich. State20–30
Wvs Central Connecticut63–10
Wvs Temple49–48
Wvs San Diego St41–16
Wat Ball State39–24
Lvs Buffalo8–23
Wat E. Michigan34–14
Ball State2–5
Lat Ohio State3–56
Wvs Stony Brook41–17
Lat Liberty15–51
Lat Kent State13–26
Lvs Toledo24–39
Lat Northwestern14–45
Wat Bowl. Green32–31

What was expected

Line, rankings, stats below remain as they were heading into the game.

These two combine for 61.3 points a game and Toledo plays fast — 66.0 snaps a game, 84th nationally. Vegas set the total at 51.5. The last 4 meetings have averaged a 13.3-point margin.

Blowout riskChernobyldecided by 15 MISS
PaceSnailToledo Speed Limit · Ball State Snail
SeriesSplit Decisionavg margin 13.3 over 4 meetingsdecided by 15 HIT

The matchup

season averages · national rank in FBS below each · the fuller bar leads

ToledoBall State
Points per game43.312th18.0129th
Points allowed26.095th37.5135th
Yards per play7.115th4.5132nd
Yards allowed per play4.325th6.7132nd
Plays per game66.084th61.5115th
Turnover margin067th+151st
3rd down conversion51.0%17th25.5%134th
More stats +11
ToledoBall State
Rushing yards per game162.564th121.3115th
Passing yards per game305.516th158.3125th
QB completion rate65.6%60th62.4%82nd
QB yards per attempt9.815th5.4136th
O-line rank26thline yards · sack rate132ndline yards · sack rate
D-line rank88thstuff rate · havoc110thstuff rate · havoc
Sacks950th5107th
Interceptions281st351st
Forced fumbles251st190th
Penalties per game7.084th8.0110th
Time of possession27:39117th28:33106th

The series

Toledo leads 4–0 over the last 4

YearResultMargin
2025Toledo 38–929
2023Toledo 13–67
2022Toledo 28–217
2021Toledo 22–1210

How to watch

NetworkESPN+
StreamStreaming only · ESPN+
FinalToledo 39, Ball State 24
WhereScheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN

What the Meter sees

Conference gameLeague standings are on the line+5.0
Program baselineA small floor for every FBS program; bigger for a power-conference team or one receiving votes+2.0
Where it's onESPN+ — a network puts its best games where everyone can find them+1.0
Vegas says it's a blowoutClosing spread of 21.5 — the line says it is over before it starts-8.6
Gotta See It Meter™0
Still Ball0–5Worth a Flip6–17I'll Bite18–33Ready to Rumble34–59Thunderdome60–99Maximum100

Quick answers

What was the final score of Toledo vs Ball State?
Toledo beat Ball State 39–24.
What channel is Toledo vs Ball State on?
ESPN+.
Where is Toledo vs Ball State played?
Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, IN.
←
Contact: hq@cfbbasecamp.com · Lines: FanDuel · CFB Basecamp is an independent fan site, unaffiliated with any school, conference, network, or sportsbook.