Toledo at Ball State
Toledo at Ball State final: Toledo beat Ball State 39–24. The Gotta See It Meter called it one to skip: 0 of 100 (Still Ball), a 21.5-point line took most of it back.
- Date
- Saturday, Oct 3, 2026
- Final
- Toledo 39, Ball State 24
- Line score
1 2 3 4 T TOL 6 9 7 17 39 BALL 7 3 7 7 24 - TV
- ESPN+ · Streaming only · ESPN+
- Venue
- Scheumann Stadium
- City
- Muncie, IN
- Week
- Week 5
- Conference game
- Yes
- Line
- Toledo −21.5 · won, no coverO/U 51.5 · Over @ 63
Still Ball
Toledo5–2
Lat Mich. State20–30
Wvs Central Connecticut63–10
Wvs Temple49–48
Wvs San Diego St41–16
Wat Ball State39–24
Lvs Buffalo8–23
Wat E. Michigan34–14
Ball State2–5
Lat Ohio State3–56
Wvs Stony Brook41–17
Lat Liberty15–51
Lat Kent State13–26
Lvs Toledo24–39
Lat Northwestern14–45
Wat Bowl. Green32–31
What was expected
Line, rankings, stats below remain as they were heading into the game.
These two combine for 61.3 points a game and Toledo plays fast — 66.0 snaps a game, 84th nationally. Vegas set the total at 51.5. The last 4 meetings have averaged a 13.3-point margin.
Blowout riskChernobyldecided by 15 MISS
PaceSnailToledo Speed Limit · Ball State Snail
SeriesSplit Decisionavg margin 13.3 over 4 meetingsdecided by 15 HIT
The matchup
season averages · national rank in FBS below each · the fuller bar leads
| Toledo | Ball State | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 43.312th | 18.0129th | |
| Points allowed | 26.095th | 37.5135th | |
| Yards per play | 7.115th | 4.5132nd | |
| Yards allowed per play | 4.325th | 6.7132nd | |
| Plays per game | 66.084th | 61.5115th | |
| Turnover margin | 067th | +151st | |
| 3rd down conversion | 51.0%17th | 25.5%134th |
More stats +11
| Toledo | Ball State | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards per game | 162.564th | 121.3115th | |
| Passing yards per game | 305.516th | 158.3125th | |
| QB completion rate | 65.6%60th | 62.4%82nd | |
| QB yards per attempt | 9.815th | 5.4136th | |
| O-line rank | 26thline yards · sack rate | 132ndline yards · sack rate | |
| D-line rank | 88thstuff rate · havoc | 110thstuff rate · havoc | |
| Sacks | 950th | 5107th | |
| Interceptions | 281st | 351st | |
| Forced fumbles | 251st | 190th | |
| Penalties per game | 7.084th | 8.0110th | |
| Time of possession | 27:39117th | 28:33106th |
The series
Toledo leads 4–0 over the last 4
| Year | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo 38–9 | 29 |
| 2023 | Toledo 13–6 | 7 |
| 2022 | Toledo 28–21 | 7 |
| 2021 | Toledo 22–12 | 10 |
How to watch
| Network | ESPN+ |
|---|---|
| Stream | Streaming only · ESPN+ |
| Final | Toledo 39, Ball State 24 |
| Where | Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN |
What the Meter sees
| Conference gameLeague standings are on the line | +5.0 |
|---|---|
| Program baselineA small floor for every FBS program; bigger for a power-conference team or one receiving votes | +2.0 |
| Where it's onESPN+ — a network puts its best games where everyone can find them | +1.0 |
| Vegas says it's a blowoutClosing spread of 21.5 — the line says it is over before it starts | -8.6 |
| Gotta See It Meter™ | 0 |
Still Ball0–5Worth a Flip6–17I'll Bite18–33Ready to Rumble34–59Thunderdome60–99Maximum100
Quick answers
- What was the final score of Toledo vs Ball State?
- Toledo beat Ball State 39–24.
- What channel is Toledo vs Ball State on?
- ESPN+.
- Where is Toledo vs Ball State played?
- Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, IN.

